Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 3.455932 3.731729 4.031541 4.383962 4.789897 5.246566 5.804602
2026-02-01 2.939161 3.286424 3.687110 4.190907 4.818375 5.589950 6.637405
2026-02-08 2.603928 2.968777 3.404260 3.974065 4.718949 5.689751 7.108127
2026-02-15 2.424306 2.809554 3.282849 3.924117 4.799975 6.005777 7.900934
2026-02-22 2.262583 2.654360 3.146282 3.830999 4.799336 6.193968 8.528698
2026-03-01 2.108078 2.495186 2.989080 3.690517 4.709197 6.229201 8.908529
2026-03-08 1.961896 2.336945 2.820980 3.518552 4.551703 6.135086 9.040799
2026-03-15 1.892836 2.274792 2.775770 3.512987 4.636379 6.427762 9.925210
2026-03-22 1.826423 2.211783 2.724343 3.492536 4.693296 6.679078 10.792969
2026-03-29 1.763509 2.149828 2.669991 3.462339 4.729606 6.897112 11.651258
2026-04-05 1.752376 2.157215 2.712282 3.578664 5.013928 7.602740 13.846963
2026-04-12 1.723372 2.137940 2.714603 3.632615 5.198271 8.153582 15.926422
2026-04-19 1.788235 2.259844 2.939206 4.075039 6.162864 10.624403 25.947803
2026-04-26 1.686575 2.138547 2.793810 3.899446 5.961357 10.479989 26.972775
2026-05-03 1.589308 2.019264 2.645006 3.706679 5.704050 10.149664 27.017072
2026-05-10 1.535094 1.960501 2.585800 3.662084 5.734247 10.542370 30.895930
2026-05-17 1.476220 1.892216 2.508003 3.578877 5.675447 10.693134 33.868853
2026-05-24 1.411786 1.813235 2.409780 3.453074 5.514711 10.535657 34.954487
2026-05-31 1.344749 1.728258 2.298860 3.298631 5.280303 10.134474 34.159142
2026-06-07 1.314855 1.697768 2.272678 3.293625 5.363039 10.655173 40.712439
2026-06-14 1.283971 1.664565 2.240477 3.275222 5.414381 11.102718 48.169768
2026-06-21 1.253103 1.630257 2.204888 3.248038 5.442954 11.492496 56.788262
2026-06-28 1.250548 1.638869 2.239060 3.352675 5.786785 13.057592 92.044041